Demand Forecasting
hace 10 horas
Demand Forecasting –Manager – Americas Delivery Mexico (ADMX) Are you an experienced, passionate pioneer in technology? A Demand Forecasting Manager who wants to work in a collaborative environment? As an experienced Demand Forecasting Manager, you will have the ability to share new ideas and collaborate on projects as a consultant without the extensive demands of travel. Americas Delivery Mexico (ADMX) leverages scale and talent to provide high quality, cost-effective service to our clients. ADMX is a member of the Global Delivery Network which has presence across the world with Delivery centers in the United States, Romania, India, Spain, China, and the Philippines. ADMX is in Queretaro, Mexico. We provide consulting services to help our clients achieve a higher level of service in operational efficiency and business value. We are a team of professionals passionate about serving clients with distinction and learning, and we are driven by our purpose: Making an impact that matters for our clients, our people, and society. Work you’ll do/Responsibilities At Deloitte, you’ll collaborate with top professionals to solve complex problems. In this role, you will leverage your technical proficiency, business acumen, and communication skills to deliver high-quality solutions. As a Manager you will contribute to the growth and success of Deloitte Consulting LLP and the Supply Chain & Network Operations Offering through: by building a repeatable COE operating model, leading multiple workstreams and stakeholders, shaping solution approaches in pursuits, and establishing governance, quality controls, and adoption mechanisms. The Team Our Deloitte Enterprise Performance team is at the forefront of enterprise technology, working across finance, supply chain, and IT operations to deliver holistic performance improvement and digital transformation. Join our team of strategic advisers and architects, differentiated by our industry depth to collaborate with leading solution providers and leverage your experience in strategy, process design, technology enablement, and operational services to enable heart-of-the-business solutions. Qualifications Required - 10+ years of consulting and/or industry experience. - Completion of coursework (Egresado) in any pertinent field or industry. - Responsible for client and team management including proactive value creation activities. - Support sales activities, account management, and project planning. - Advanced English level. Preferred - Master’s Degree. - Forecasting fundamentals: Hierarchy alignment, segmentation, seasonality/holiday effects, lifecycle/new product introductions (NPI), intermittency, and promo/event impacts. - Strong understanding of planning processes and integration points (e.g., sales & operations planning (S&OP) / integrated business planning (IBP) touchpoints). Gates, metrics, and stakeholder cadence (e.g., monthly COE steering). - Data science for forecasting: Ability to lead solution design and, when needed, be hands-on with regression-based/causal models (linear, regularized, mixed-effects, tree-based) and time-series approaches. - Strong feature engineering (causal drivers, lag structures, interaction effects), explainability, and pragmatic model selection aligned to business decisions. - Robust backtesting design (time-based splits), error/bias analysis, and clear communication of assumptions, limitations, and tradeoffs. - Forecast performance management: WAPE/WMAPE, MAPE, MAE/RMSE, bias, and service-level/business impact interpretation; Ability to set pragmatic performance targets, design monitoring frameworks, and guide continuous improvement conversations with clients. - Ability to set performance targets, define monitoring frameworks, and lead continuous improvement conversations with client executives and product/process owners. - Data proficiency: Strong SQL; data profiling and quality assessment; ability to define data requirements and guide extraction/curation across multiple source systems. - Comfort working with imperfect/sparse/bias-prone demand data; ability to define mitigation strategies and communicate risks clearly. - Ability to lead end-to-end delivery patterns (discovery → data readiness → modeling → validation → deployment/adoption), including defining templates and accelerators. - Storytelling & decision support: Translate model outputs into executive-ready narratives, scenarios, and recommendations tied to planning and commercial decisions (inventory, service levels, promotions, NPI planning). - Strong workshop facilitation and stakeholder alignment skills; can drive decisions, not just analysis. - Asset building: Standardization, documentation, and packaging of reusable artifacts; ability to drive adoption across teams and engagements with measurable reuse. - Platforms: Blue Yonder, o9, and/or Kinaxis training, certification, configuration, or implementation experience (asset). - Modern forecasting trends: probabilistic forecasting/prediction intervals, demand sensing with high-frequency signals, external data incorporation (e.g., weather/macroeconomic proxies) with governance, and model monitoring/retraining triggers (MLOps for forecasting). - Tooling: Python for forecasting workflows; BI tools (Tableau/Power BI) for insight communication; familiarity with cloud analytics environments and data pipelines . - Certifications (assets): IBF forecasting certifications, ASCM/APICS planning certifications, and vendor credentials (Kinaxis Maestro, o9, Blue Yonder) . - Pursuit/sales exposure: presenting solution approaches, leading estimating/workplanning, and shaping value cases. Other additional technical experience: - Knowledge of planning processes and integration points (S&OP/IBP touchpoints, downstream consumption of forecasts). - Ability to define standard forecasting delivery patterns (discovery → data readiness → modeling → validation → deployment/adoption) and create associated templates/accelerators. - Familiarity with ERP/data ecosystems and integration considerations (ETL/ELT concepts, data contracts). - Experience with Agile methodology, for projects implementation and/or as Product Owner. - Ability to set delivery quality standards: peer review approach, model risk/assumption documentation, reproducibility, and handover/run readiness. Our people and culture Our inclusive culture empowers our people to be who they are, contribute their unique perspectives, and make a difference individually and collectively. It enables us to leverage different ideas and perspectives, and bring more creativity and innovation to help solve our client most complex challenges. This makes Deloitte one of the most rewarding places to work. Professional development From entry-level employees to senior leaders, we believe there’s always room to learn. We offer opportunities to build new skills, take on leadership opportunities and connect and grow through mentorship. From on-the-job learning experiences to formal development programs, our professionals have a variety of opportunities to continue to grow throughout their career. Accommodations We are committed to providing equal opportunity and reasonable accommodation for people with disabilities. To request a reasonable accommodation, contact our Talent Relations team at USTalentCICInbox@deloitte.com As used in this posting, "Deloitte" means Deloitte Consulting LLP, a subsidiary of Deloitte LLP. Please see www.deloitte.com/us/about for a detailed description of the legal structure of Deloitte LLP and its subsidiaries. All qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment without regard to race, color, religion, sex, sexual orientation, gender identity, national origin, age, disability or protected veteran status, or any other legally protected basis, in accordance with applicable law.
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